checker play #039

is Player 2 score: 2 pip: 89

9 point match

pip: 125 score: 1 is Player 1

XGID=-BA-BCBAAa--a-----bbdc-BbA:1:1:1:63:1:2:0:9:10

to play 63

Čini se kako treba nešto napraviti sa kontrolom vanjskog polja i odigrati prirodni potez ovdje. Čak pod cijenu da se ne zatvori 2. polje i izloži prema 17 šuteva. Radi se o povećanju kontakta, kojeg bijeli, koji zaostaje u trci želi povećati. Zatim, postoji opasnost od razbijanja vlastite kuće tako da bijeli treba dobiti na vremenu. b/16 je provokacija, potez koji priželjkuje izmjenu udaraca. Bijeli gubi u trci, ima snažniji board, više checkera pozadi, ankoru, dok je crni bez ankore sa blotovima naokolo. Sve upućuje na to da se odigra hrabriji potez, a ne "siguran".

It seems how white has to do something with outfield control and has to play natural here although such move exposes him to 17 shots. Prize for that could be 2pt in addition. It is about contact increasing, white is behind in race. Also, there is some danger of crunching, so white needs more time. b/16 is provoke play which goes for hits exchange. White is behind, has stronger homeboard, more checkers back, anchor, while black has two blots around without anchor. Everything call for bold move here, not safe one.

1.	Rollout1	Bar/16	eq: -0,568
	Player: Opponent: 24,06% (G:1,79% B:0,07%) 75,94% (G:15,82% B:0,63%) Conf: ± 0,009 (-0,577...-0,559) Duration: 3 minutes 11 seconds
2.	Rollout1	Bar/22 8/2	eq: -0,644 (-0,076)
	Player: Opponent: 21,22% (G:1,52% B:0,06%) 78,78% (G:15,48% B:0,47%) Conf: ± 0,007 (-0,651...-0,637) Duration: 2 minutes 29 seconds
3.	3 ply	Bar/22 7/1	eq: -0,766 (-0,199)
	Player: Opponent: 17,48% (G:1,48% B:0,03%) 82,52% (G:19,17% B:0,70%)
4.	2 ply	Bar/22 23/17	eq: -1,046 (-0,479)
	Player: Opponent: 18,83% (G:5,95% B:0,40%) 81,17% (G:52,94% B:4,54%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross