checker play #037

is Player 2 score: 2 pip: 107

9 point match

pip: 130 score: 1 is Player 1

XGID=-BA-BCB--a--bB---Acbdc--B-:1:1:1:65:1:2:0:9:10

to play 65

Bijeli zaostaje 12 pipseva, ali je pozicija poprilično izgubljena i preostaje mu kontrola štete. 17/6 je siguran, postavlja checker na 6. polje i zadržava midpoint. Uskoro će vjerojatno imati kuću od pet polja. 13/7 13/8 je preoptimističan i izlaže bijeloga sa 17 šuteva. Čak iako crni promaši, bijelome preostaje dosta posla. Treba hitnuti, zatvoriti kuću i pobjeći sa dva stražnja checkera preko blokade. Njegov plan bi trebao biti izbjegavanje gammona i pokušati pobijediti udarcem u zadnji čas sa ankore. Kocka je kod bijeloga što mu garantira igru do kraja.

White is 12 pips behind but his position is bad and he has to turn into damage control mode. 17/6 is safe, puts spare on 6pt and retains midpoint. He could expect five point board next roll. 13/7 13/8 is too optimistic and exposes white to 17 shots. Even black misses, white still has too much work. He has to hit, has to close board and runs with two back checkers over blockade. His game plan should be to avoid gammons and to win with last minute shot from anchor. White has a cube which is guaranty for play to the end of the game.

1.	Rollout1	17/6	eq: -0,775
	Player: Opponent: 15,52% (G:1,41% B:0,05%) 84,48% (G:14,76% B:0,69%) Conf: ± 0,005 (-0,780...-0,770) Duration: 7 minutes 54 seconds
2.	Rollout1	13/8 13/7	eq: -0,817 (-0,042)
	Player: Opponent: 15,87% (G:2,14% B:0,08%) 84,13% (G:20,64% B:1,34%) Conf: ± 0,006 (-0,823...-0,811) Duration: 8 minutes 02 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross