checker play #004

is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 149

7 point match

pip: 157 score: 3 is Player 1

XGID=-aa-B-CAB---eC-B-c-AA-d-a-:0:0:1:62:3:0:0:7:10

to play 62

Bijeli je propustio uduplati prije bacanja. Iako zaostaje u trci ima bolju poziciju i prijeti crnom blokadom zadnjih checkera, koji razbijene obrane teško može ovdje uzeti. Bijelom se ne žuri, ali jednu stvar treba napraviti nakon 7pt, a to je 5pt. Tada će biti siguran da mu protivnik neće napraviti ankoru ili iskoristiti 5pt kao prolaz za bijeg. Za nastavak 13/11 najviše podržava spomenuti plan. Povećava kontakt, uspostavlja bolju kontrolu ploče i kreira builder za ključan 5pt. Blot na 13pt siguran je jer crni, zbog gammona, neće hitnuti.

White missed to double before roll. Although he is behind in race he has better position and threat to prime black's back checkers, who without defense can't accept cube. White is not in hurry but after barpt he need to make his 5pt. Then he will be assure how his opponent will not anchor there or use 5pt as a route for escape. After 13/7, 13/11 is most suitable with such game plan. Such move increase contact, give white better outfield control and create builder for key 5pt. Blot on midpoint is safe because black will not hit regard of gammon danger.

1.	Rollout1	13/11 13/7	eq: +0,955
	Player: Opponent: 73,28% (G:25,83% B:2,01%) 26,72% (G:5,85% B:0,34%) Conf: ± 0,004 (+0,951...+0,959) Duration: 2 hours 59 minutes
2.	Rollout2	20/18 13/7	eq: +0,935 (-0,021)
	Player: Opponent: 72,51% (G:23,75% B:1,69%) 27,49% (G:5,83% B:0,27%) Conf: ± 0,004 (+0,931...+0,939) Duration: 1 hour 51 minutes
3.	Rollout2	15/7	eq: +0,922 (-0,034)
	Player: Opponent: 72,69% (G:23,65% B:1,72%) 27,31% (G:5,75% B:0,25%) Conf: ± 0,003 (+0,919...+0,925) Duration: 1 hour 52 minutes
4.	Rollout2	13/7 6/4	eq: +0,902 (-0,054)
	Player: Opponent: 71,11% (G:24,48% B:1,96%) 28,89% (G:6,05% B:0,35%) Conf: ± 0,005 (+0,897...+0,907) Duration: 2 hours 41 minutes
5.	Rollout3	13/7 8/6	eq: +0,774 (-0,182)
	Player: Opponent: 67,55% (G:24,41% B:3,35%) 32,45% (G:7,25% B:0,59%) Conf: ± 0,010 (+0,764...+0,784) Duration: 3 hours 22 minutes
1 19361 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply 2 19360 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply 3 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross