checker play #011

is Player 2 score: 1 pip: 127

7 point match

pip: 136 score: 2 is Player 1

XGID=-a---BD-C---cF--ab-cc-b---:0:0:1:32:2:1:0:7:10

to play 32

Plan je zadržati protivnikov back checker. Zaostatak od osam pipseva može se nadoknaditi, ali to je tek rezerva opcija. Treba povećati kontrolu vanjskih polja i pokušati zatvoriti barpoint. Midpoint je pun checkera koji samo čekaju da se ubace u igru. Nakon 13/11 čak je i 8/5 bolje nego početnički presiguran 13/8. Ako crni izađe u vanjsko polje, a bijeli ga promaši, postaje favorit. Bijeli nema vremena za polovične mjere već treba spustiti dva buildera s midpointa bez obzira na četiri indirekta i snažniju kuću protivnika.

Game plan is to contain opponent's last back checker. Eight pips deficit is not much but race is only second option. White should increase outfield control and seeks to close barpoint. Midpoint is full of checkers which can't wait to be released. After 13/11 even 8/5 is better than "safe" 13/8. If black runs into outfield and if white missed him, black becomes instant favorite. White has no time for half measures so he should bring down two builders from midpoint regardless of four indirects and stronger black's homeboard.

1.	Rollout1	13/11 13/10	eq: +0,053
	Player: Opponent: 52,31% (G:4,57% B:0,15%) 47,69% (G:7,76% B:0,17%) Conf: ± 0,012 (+0,041...+0,065) Duration: 10 minutes 20 seconds
2.	Rollout2	13/11 8/5	eq: +0,020 (-0,033)
	Player: Opponent: 51,17% (G:4,27% B:0,07%) 48,83% (G:6,64% B:0,10%) Conf: ± 0,012 (+0,008...+0,032) Duration: 10 minutes 01 second
3.	Rollout3	13/8	eq: -0,058 (-0,111)
	Player: Opponent: 48,84% (G:3,16% B:0,09%) 51,16% (G:4,42% B:0,06%) Conf: ± 0,010 (-0,068...-0,048) Duration: 8 minutes 14 seconds
4.	Rollout3	13/10 8/6	eq: -0,101 (-0,155)
	Player: Opponent: 47,92% (G:3,79% B:0,12%) 52,08% (G:7,40% B:0,12%) Conf: ± 0,012 (-0,113...-0,089) Duration: 8 minutes 11 seconds
5.	Rollout3	8/6 8/5	eq: -0,336 (-0,390)
	Player: Opponent: 41,40% (G:3,17% B:0,09%) 58,60% (G:9,39% B:0,14%) Conf: ± 0,011 (-0,347...-0,325) Duration: 7 minutes 21 seconds
1 1451 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply 2 1450 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply 3 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross